CD Olimpiavs
Firpo
COMPLETEDWorld · CONCACAF Central American Cup · 9/18/2026, 3:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CD Olimpia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CD Olimpia 3-0 Firpo
Original prediction
CD Olimpia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 12:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.34 | 67.4% | 60.2% | -7.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.44 | 20.3% | 22.0% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 7.31 | 12.3% | 17.8% | 5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.1–111%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
CD Olimpia
Probability
60.2%
Model confidence
60.2%
CD Olimpia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80