CD Motaguavs
Sporting San Miguelito
COMPLETEDWorld · CONCACAF Central American Cup · 8/10/2023, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CD Motagua · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
CD Motagua are 1W-2D-0L in their last 3 (DWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.33 conceded, while Sporting San Miguelito are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and CD Motagua hold a 22.0-point power-rating edge (78.5 v 56.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the CONCACAF Central American Cup, while CD Motagua holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
CD Motagua
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
CD Motagua has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.33
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00