GGOALVIO

Honduras · Liga Nacional · 8/22/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CD Motagua · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

CD Motagua 4-1 Lobos Upnfm

Original prediction

CD Motagua

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–010%
  3. 3.2–19%

Predicted outcome

CD Motagua

Probability

47.1%

Model confidence

47.1%

CD Motagua has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CD MotaguaLDLWW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Lobos UpnfmDDLWL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
CD MotaguaLobos Upnfm
44.4Attack33.3
44.4Defence44.4
33.3Form22.2
40.8Power36.4
1.48xG1.13
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