CD Motaguavs
Juticalpa
COMPLETEDHonduras · Liga Nacional · 10/25/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CD Motagua · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: CD Motagua 2-0 Juticalpa, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
CD Motagua 2-0 Juticalpa
Original prediction
CD Motagua
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 01:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.25 | 72.5% | 81.4% | 8.8 pts |
| Draw | 5.51 | 16.4% | 12.6% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 8.19 | 11.0% | 6.0% | -5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.8 pts
Projected Score
CD Motagua 2–0 Juticalpa
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
CD Motagua
Probability
81.4%
Model confidence
81.4%
CD Motagua has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CD MotaguaDWWLD
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
JuticalpaLLWLL
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
CD MotaguaJuticalpa
50.0Attack33.3
70.0Defence23.3
63.3Form20.0
61.8Power29.3
2.72xG0.50