GGOALVIO

CD Motagua logoCD MotaguavsCD Marathon logoCD Marathon

COMPLETED

Honduras · Liga Nacional · 8/13/2023, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CD Motagua · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

CD Motagua are 2W-2D-0L in their last 4 (WDWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.25 conceded, while CD Marathon are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 6 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and CD Marathon hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (54.2 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the Liga Nacional, while CD Motagua holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CD Motagua

Probability

36.2%

Model confidence

36.2%

CD Motagua has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CD MotaguaWDWD

GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.25

BTTS 1/4O2.5 1/4
CD MarathonWL

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.50

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
CD MotaguaCD Marathon
50.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence83.3
50.0Form66.7
54.2Power64.8
1.24xG1.09
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