CD Marathonvs
Real Estelí
COMPLETEDWorld · CONCACAF Central American Cup · 8/27/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CD Marathon · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CD Marathon 3-0 Real Estelí
Original prediction
CD Marathon
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.93 | 46.9% | 38.6% | -8.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 29.7% | 28.6% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.86 | 23.4% | 32.8% | 9.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.93 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
CD Marathon
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
CD Marathon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20