GGOALVIO

World · CONCACAF Central American Cup · 8/27/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Estelí · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

CD Marathon are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Real Estelí are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Estelí hold a 46.3-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 91.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.0% in the CONCACAF Central American Cup, while Real Estelí holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Real Estelí

Probability

46.1%

Model confidence

13.0%

Real Estelí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CD MarathonDWDDD

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Real EstelíWWWWW

GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CD MarathonReal Estelí
0.0Attack83.3
100.0Defence83.3
33.3Form100.0
45.3Power91.7
1.16xG1.60
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