CD Marathonvs
Real Espana
COMPLETEDHonduras · Liga Nacional · 8/19/2023, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Espana · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
CD Marathon are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LWL), averaging 0.67 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Real Espana are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Espana hold a 30.0-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 94.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.4% in the Liga Nacional, while Real Espana holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Real Espana
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Real Espana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.67/1.33
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60