CD Marathonvs
Olancho
COMPLETEDHonduras · Liga Nacional · 10/15/2026, 11:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CD Marathon · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: CD Marathon 0-0 Olancho, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
CD Marathon 2-1 Olancho
Original prediction
CD Marathon
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.66 | 54.3% | 51.5% | -2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 25.0% | 30.9% | 5.8 pts |
| Away | 4.37 | 20.7% | 17.6% | -3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.66 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.8 pts
Projected Score
CD Marathon 0–0 Olancho
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
CD Marathon
Probability
51.5%
Model confidence
51.5%
CD Marathon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CD MarathonDLLWD
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
OlanchoDDDDL
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
CD MarathonOlancho
51.9Attack25.9
77.8Defence77.8
66.7Form44.4
65.9Power52.6
0.96xG0.41