CD Marathonvs
Alianza
SCHEDULEDWorld · CONCACAF Central American Cup · 8/20/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alianza · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
CD Marathon are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Alianza are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza hold a 38.0-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.0% in the CONCACAF Central American Cup, while Alianza holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Alianza
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
14.0%
Alianza has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20