CD Coriavs
Real Avilés
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 9/19/2026, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CD Coria · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CD Coria 1-1 Real Avilés
Original prediction
CD Coria
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.34 | 38.8% | 40.8% | 2.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 30.0% | 29.4% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.92 | 31.2% | 29.7% | -1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.04 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
CD Coria
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
CD Coria has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20