CD Coriavs
Extremadura 1924
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 10/10/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CD Coria · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CD Coria 2-4 Extremadura 1924
Original prediction
CD Coria
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.41 | 37.8% | 36.4% | -1.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.10 | 29.4% | 29.0% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.77 | 32.8% | 34.6% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
CD Coria
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
CD Coria has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80