CD Coriavs
Athletic Club II
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 10/18/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Athletic Club II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CD Coria 2-1 Athletic Club II
Original prediction
Athletic Club II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.92 | 31.2% | 25.3% | -5.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.4% | 23.4% | -3.0 pts |
| Away | 2.15 | 42.4% | 51.3% | 8.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Athletic Club II
Probability
51.3%
Model confidence
51.3%
Athletic Club II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20