CD Arabe Unidovs
Union Cocle
COMPLETEDPanama · Liga Panameña de Fútbol · 9/12/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: CD Arabe Unido 0-0 Union Cocle, with an exact score probability of 29%.
Prediction record
Final result
CD Arabe Unido 4-1 Union Cocle
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.89 | 47.4% | 38.9% | -8.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.00 | 29.8% | 34.5% | 4.7 pts |
| Away | 3.95 | 22.7% | 26.6% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.7 pts
Projected Score
CD Arabe Unido 0–0 Union Cocle
Exact score probability: 29%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.5%
Model confidence
38.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CD Arabe UnidoWDWWD
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Union CocleLDLDL
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CD Arabe UnidoUnion Cocle
33.3Attack30.6
65.2Defence68.1
47.8Form40.3
50.9Power48.0
0.69xG0.57