CD Arabe Unidovs
Herrera
COMPLETEDPanama · Liga Panameña de Fútbol · 9/26/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CD Arabe Unido · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: CD Arabe Unido 2-0 Herrera, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
CD Arabe Unido 2-1 Herrera
Original prediction
CD Arabe Unido
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.28 | 70.7% | 58.7% | -12.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.65 | 19.4% | 23.8% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 9.16 | 9.9% | 17.6% | 7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.0 pts
Projected Score
CD Arabe Unido 2–0 Herrera
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
CD Arabe Unido
Probability
58.7%
Model confidence
58.7%
CD Arabe Unido has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 3 · GA 17 · avg 0.60/3.40