Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cayón · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cayón 0-0 Torina
Original prediction
Cayón
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 02:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 43.7% | 39.6% | -4.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.3% | 28.7% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.23 | 27.9% | 31.8% | 3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.19 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Cayón
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Cayón has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CayónLLLDW
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
TorinaNo completed matches
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
CayónTorina
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.46xG1.24