GGOALVIO

World · CONCACAF Nations League · 10/2/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Puerto Rico · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Cayman Islands 0-3 Puerto Rico

Original prediction

Puerto Rico

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 18:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home26.663.5%27.5%24.1 pts
Draw9.599.6%23.2%13.5 pts
Away1.0686.9%49.3%-37.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-37.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–29%
  3. 3.2–18%

Predicted outcome

Puerto Rico

Probability

49.3%

Model confidence

49.3%

Puerto Rico has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cayman IslandsLDLLL

GF 1 · GA 13 · avg 0.20/2.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Puerto RicoWLLLD

GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Cayman IslandsPuerto Rico
0.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence83.3
16.7Form50.0
31.3Power56.2
1.37xG1.41
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