Caxiasvs
Ypiranga-RS
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie C · 4/27/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Caxias are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Ypiranga-RS are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Caxias hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (55.1 v 52.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the Serie C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80