GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie C · 4/27/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Caxias are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Ypiranga-RS are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Caxias hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (55.1 v 52.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the Serie C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.9%

Model confidence

42.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CaxiasLWLLD

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Ypiranga-RSWWDWL

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CaxiasYpiranga-RS
33.3Attack45.8
75.0Defence58.3
50.0Form50.0
55.1Power52.6
0.90xG0.62
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