Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Caxias are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Paysandu are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 55.1 against 55.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.6% in the Serie C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60