Cavesevs
Audace Cerignola
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone C · 8/28/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Audace Cerignola · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Cavese 0-0 Audace Cerignola, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Cavese 3-1 Audace Cerignola
Original prediction
Audace Cerignola
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.59 | 34.9% | 33.9% | -1.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.88 | 31.4% | 29.6% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.68 | 33.7% | 36.4% | 2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.8 pts
Projected Score
Cavese 0–0 Audace Cerignola
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Audace Cerignola
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Audace Cerignola has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80