GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 7/13/2024, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cavalry FC · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Cavalry FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while York 9 FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Cavalry FC hold a 36.4-point power-rating edge (71.4 v 35.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 87.2% in the Canadian Premier League, while Cavalry FC holds the strongest overall chance at 87% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cavalry FC

Probability

87.2%

Model confidence

87.2%

Cavalry FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cavalry FCWLDDW

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
York 9 FCWLWWD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Cavalry FCYork 9 FC
64.6Attack38.1
81.3Defence26.2
70.8Form33.3
71.4Power35.0
3.40xG0.50
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