GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 5/4/2024, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cavalry FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Cavalry FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Vancouver FC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Cavalry FC hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (71.4 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.8% in the Canadian Premier League, while Cavalry FC holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cavalry FC

Probability

50.8%

Model confidence

50.8%

Cavalry FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cavalry FCDWDLL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Vancouver FCLLWWL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Cavalry FCVancouver FC
64.6Attack51.0
81.3Defence66.7
70.8Form52.9
71.4Power57.2
1.45xG0.71
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