GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 7/13/2023, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cavalry FC · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Cavalry FC are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Atlético Ottawa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Cavalry FC hold a 21.8-point power-rating edge (71.4 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.2% in the Canadian Premier League, while Cavalry FC holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cavalry FC

Probability

75.2%

Model confidence

75.2%

Cavalry FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cavalry FCWWWLW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Atlético OttawaWDLWL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Cavalry FCAtlético Ottawa
64.6Attack52.1
81.3Defence39.6
70.8Form50.0
71.4Power49.6
2.67xG0.71
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