Cavaliervs
Tivoli Gardens
COMPLETEDJamaica · Premier League · 10/25/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tivoli Gardens · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cavalier 2-1 Tivoli Gardens
Original prediction
Tivoli Gardens
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 October 2026 at 07:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.04 | 44.3% | 30.9% | -13.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 27.8% | 25.4% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 3.25 | 27.9% | 43.7% | 15.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Tivoli Gardens
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Tivoli Gardens has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20