Cavaliervs
Montego Bay United
COMPLETEDJamaica · Premier League · 10/11/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cavalier · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cavalier 1-3 Montego Bay United
Original prediction
Cavalier
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 02:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.01 | 30.0% | 37.2% | 7.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 28.1% | 28.4% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.16 | 41.9% | 34.4% | -7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Cavalier
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Cavalier has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60