Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Moca · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Cavalier are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Moca are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Moca hold a 17.0-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 62.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.4% in the CONCACAF Caribbean Club Championship, while Moca holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Moca
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Moca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.50/1.00
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80