Cavaliervs
Arnett Gardens
COMPLETEDJamaica · Premier League · 9/27/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cavalier · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cavalier 3-2 Arnett Gardens
Original prediction
Cavalier
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.32 | 38.9% | 44.0% | 5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.2% | 28.3% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.74 | 32.9% | 27.6% | -5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.32 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–015%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–014%
Predicted outcome
Cavalier
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
Cavalier has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
GF 20 · GA 6 · avg 4.00/1.20