Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Catanzaro · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Catanzaro 3-0 Giugliano
Original prediction
Catanzaro
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 August 2026 at 01:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.2-calibrated-1x2.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Catanzaro
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
45.8%
Catanzaro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CatanzaroWWLLW
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
GiuglianoDDDWL
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 0/5
CatanzaroGiugliano
66.7Attack33.3
33.3Defence0.0
50.0Form0.0
49.9Power15.3
2.44xG1.51