Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Catania · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 9 October 2026 at 05:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Catania
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Catania has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CataniaWWDWL
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
SorrentoWLLWW
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CataniaSorrento
100.0Attack50.0
83.3Defence50.0
100.0Form50.0
92.8Power50.0
1.79xG0.96