Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Catania · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Catania are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Inter U23 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and inter U23 hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (47.7 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Serie C - Girone C, favouring Catania with 17.5% confidence, a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Catania
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
17.5%
Catania has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00