Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Castro · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Castro 3-0 Escobedo
Original prediction
Castro
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Castro
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Castro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CastroLLLDW
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
EscobedoLDWLL
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
CastroEscobedo
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.46xG1.24