GGOALVIO

Brazil · Capixaba B · 9/27/2024, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Capixaba SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Castelo are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Capixaba SC are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (DWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Capixaba SC hold a 28.1-point power-rating edge (58.3 v 86.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.0% in the Capixaba B, while Capixaba SC holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Capixaba SC

Probability

56.0%

Model confidence

56.0%

Capixaba SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CasteloWWD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Capixaba SCDWW

GF 9 · GA 0 · avg 3.00/0.00

BTTS 0/3O2.5 1/3
CasteloCapixaba SC
73.3Attack84.8
56.7Defence84.8
50.0Form93.9
58.3Power86.3
1.23xG2.22
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