GGOALVIO

Spain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · 11/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Castellón II · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction details

Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: -
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.2540.4%46.4%6.1 pts
Draw3.2428.0%26.7%-1.4 pts
Away2.8631.6%26.9%-4.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–012%
  3. 3.2–010%

Predicted outcome

Castellón II

Probability

46.4%

Model confidence

46.4%

Castellón II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Castellón IILWWWW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Deportiva MineraWWLDD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Castellón IIDeportiva Minera
80.0Attack44.4
66.7Defence66.7
80.0Form61.1
75.7Power59.7
1.54xG0.92
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