Castellanavs
Aucas
COMPLETEDEcuador · Copa Ecuador · 7/20/2024, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aucas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Castellana are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Aucas are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Aucas hold a 50.2-point power-rating edge (21.0 v 71.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.8% in the Copa Ecuador, while Aucas holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aucas
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Aucas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40