Castanhalvs
Nova Iguaçu
COMPLETEDBrazil · Copa Do Brasil · 3/11/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nova Iguaçu · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Castanhal are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Nova Iguaçu are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Nova Iguaçu hold a 35.8-point power-rating edge (21.0 v 56.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.8% in the Copa Do Brasil, while Nova Iguaçu holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nova Iguaçu
Probability
48.0%
Model confidence
13.8%
Nova Iguaçu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60