Casric Starsvs
Venda FC
COMPLETEDSouth-Africa · 1st Division · 9/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Casric Stars · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Casric Stars 1-0 Venda FC, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Casric Stars 2-0 Venda FC
Original prediction
Casric Stars
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.84 | 48.5% | 51.5% | 3.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.94 | 30.4% | 27.8% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 4.23 | 21.1% | 20.7% | -0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.84 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.0 pts
Projected Score
Casric Stars 1–0 Venda FC
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Casric Stars
Probability
51.5%
Model confidence
51.5%
Casric Stars has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Casric StarsWWLWW
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Venda FCLLLDL
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Casric StarsVenda FC
41.7Attack25.0
75.0Defence41.7
75.0Form8.3
67.4Power28.6
1.49xG0.61