Casric Starsvs
Midlands Wanderers
COMPLETEDSouth-Africa · 1st Division · 9/4/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Casric Stars · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 2-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Casric Stars 1-0 Midlands Wanderers
Original prediction
Casric Stars
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.05 | 43.5% | 57.1% | 13.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.89 | 30.9% | 24.7% | -6.1 pts |
| Away | 3.47 | 25.7% | 18.2% | -7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.05 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.2–013%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Casric Stars
Probability
57.1%
Model confidence
57.1%
Casric Stars has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80