Cashmere Technicalvs
Wellington Phoenix II
COMPLETEDNew-Zealand · National League - National · 10/4/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cashmere Technical · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cashmere Technical 10-0 Wellington Phoenix II
Original prediction
Cashmere Technical
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 12:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.12 | 82.1% | 54.9% | -27.3 pts |
| Draw | 8.41 | 10.9% | 23.2% | 12.2 pts |
| Away | 13.26 | 6.9% | 22.0% | 15.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.12 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-27.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Cashmere Technical
Probability
54.9%
Model confidence
54.9%
Cashmere Technical has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 18 · GA 4 · avg 3.60/0.80
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/2.67