Cashmere Technicalvs
Napier City Rovers
SCHEDULEDNew-Zealand · Chatham Cup · 8/16/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cashmere Technical · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Cashmere Technical are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Napier City Rovers are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Napier City Rovers hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (87.8 v 90.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.4% in the Chatham Cup, while Cashmere Technical holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cashmere Technical
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
7.4%
Cashmere Technical has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 18 · GA 5 · avg 3.60/1.00
GF 17 · GA 6 · avg 3.40/1.20