GGOALVIO

New-Zealand · Chatham Cup · 8/16/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cashmere Technical · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Lowconfidence

Cashmere Technical are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Napier City Rovers are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Napier City Rovers hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (87.8 v 90.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.4% in the Chatham Cup, while Cashmere Technical holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cashmere Technical

Probability

45.0%

Model confidence

7.4%

Cashmere Technical has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cashmere TechnicalWWLWW

GF 18 · GA 5 · avg 3.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Napier City RoversWWLWW

GF 17 · GA 6 · avg 3.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Cashmere TechnicalNapier City Rovers
100.0Attack100.0
83.3Defence66.7
100.0Form100.0
87.8Power90.7
2.44xG2.09
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