Casertanavs
Team Altamura
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone C · 9/15/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Casertana · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Casertana 1-0 Team Altamura, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Casertana 1-0 Team Altamura
Original prediction
Casertana
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 18:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.55 | 58.1% | 55.7% | -2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 25.6% | 25.9% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 5.49 | 16.4% | 18.4% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.55 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.3 pts
Projected Score
Casertana 1–0 Team Altamura
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Casertana
Probability
55.7%
Model confidence
55.7%
Casertana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CasertanaWDWDL
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Team AltamuraLLDDW
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CasertanaTeam Altamura
44.7Attack38.7
66.7Defence55.0
57.0Form39.6
58.0Power46.3
1.34xG0.68