Cascavelvs
Guarany de Bagé
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 4/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cascavel · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Cascavel are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Guarany de Bagé are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Cascavel hold a 28.4-point power-rating edge (52.7 v 24.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.5% in the Serie D, while Cascavel holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cascavel
Probability
61.5%
Model confidence
61.5%
Cascavel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.20/0.80
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00