Casaranovs
SS Monopoli
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone C · 9/27/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Casarano · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Casarano 0-1 SS Monopoli
Original prediction
Casarano
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.26 | 39.7% | 39.8% | 0.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 28.5% | 29.6% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.83 | 31.8% | 30.6% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Casarano
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Casarano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80