Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Casarano · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Casarano are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Giugliano are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 50.6 against 49.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.3% in the Serie C - Girone C, while Casarano holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Casarano
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
14.3%
Casarano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20