Carshalton Athleticvs
Enfield Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Isthmian · 10/12/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Enfield Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Carshalton Athletic 1-2 Enfield Town
Original prediction
Enfield Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.16 | 28.6% | 31.4% | 2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.74 | 24.2% | 23.6% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 1.92 | 47.2% | 44.9% | -2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.92 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Enfield Town
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
44.9%
Enfield Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00