Carrick Rangersvs
Linfield
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Premiership · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Linfield · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Carrick Rangers 2-2 Linfield
Original prediction
Linfield
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.56 | 25.4% | 25.3% | -0.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 25.5% | 25.1% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 1.84 | 49.1% | 49.6% | 0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.56 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Linfield
Probability
49.6%
Model confidence
49.6%
Linfield has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40