Carrick Rangersvs
Limavady United
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Premiership · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Carrick Rangers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Carrick Rangers 1-1 Limavady United
Original prediction
Carrick Rangers
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 08:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.50 | 60.1% | 53.4% | -6.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.29 | 21.1% | 24.2% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 4.81 | 18.8% | 22.4% | 3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.29 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Carrick Rangers
Probability
53.4%
Model confidence
53.4%
Carrick Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80