Carrick Rangersvs
Cliftonville FC
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Premiership · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Carrick Rangers · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Carrick Rangers 1-3 Cliftonville FC
Original prediction
Carrick Rangers
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.05 | 44.3% | 41.1% | -3.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 25.9% | 27.3% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 3.04 | 29.8% | 31.6% | 1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Carrick Rangers
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Carrick Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00