Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pontedera · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Carrarese are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Pontedera are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 3 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Pontedera hold a 43.8-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 67.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.9% in the Coppa Italia Serie C, while Pontedera holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pontedera
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Pontedera has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.50
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 3.00/1.00