GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 3/14/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Orlando City II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Carolina Core are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Orlando City II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Orlando City II hold a 9.1-point power-rating edge (42.0 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.4% in the MLS Next Pro, while Orlando City II holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Orlando City II

Probability

43.8%

Model confidence

8.4%

Orlando City II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Carolina CoreLLLDD

GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Orlando City IIWLLDL

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Carolina CoreOrlando City II
46.4Attack63.6
42.0Defence37.9
33.3Form47.0
42.0Power51.1
1.84xG2.13
View match centre →