Carolina Corevs
New England II
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 9/4/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New England II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Carolina Core 2-2 New England II
Original prediction
New England II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.86 | 31.6% | 29.3% | -2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.5% | 21.5% | -4.0 pts |
| Away | 2.11 | 42.9% | 49.2% | 6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.55 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
New England II
Probability
49.2%
Model confidence
49.2%
New England II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 16 · avg 1.80/3.20
GF 9 · GA 15 · avg 1.80/3.00