GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 8/22/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Carolina Core · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Mediumconfidence

Carolina Core are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while FC Cincinnati II are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and carolina Core hold a 11.4-point power-rating edge (42.0 v 30.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely result in the MLS Next Pro, favouring Carolina Core with 10.1% confidence, a 60% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Carolina Core

Probability

61.4%

Model confidence

10.1%

Carolina Core has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Carolina CoreWDLWD

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FC Cincinnati IILLDLL

GF 7 · GA 16 · avg 1.40/3.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Carolina CoreFC Cincinnati II
46.4Attack34.9
42.0Defence28.6
33.3Form22.2
42.0Power30.6
2.25xG1.10
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